Nhận định xu hướng & chiến lược phiên Âu 15/11/2010

GOLD‏ (Spot) intraday: the downside prevails
Pivot: 1381.50
Our Preference: SHORT positions @ 1378 with targets @ 1350 & 1335.
Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 1381.5 will open the way to 1398 & 1424.
Comment: the price is on the downside challenging the 20D moving average.
Trend: ST Ltd upside; MT Bullish

EUR/USD intraday: rebound expected
Pivot: 1.3620.
Our Preference: LONG positions @ 1.363 with targets @ 1.3775 & 1.3825.
Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1.362 will call for a slide towards 1.3575 & 1.3495.
Comment: the pair stands above its new support and should post a rebound, the RSI is mixed to bullish.
Trend: ST Ltd Upside; MT Range

GBP/USD intraday: intraday support around 1.6075
Pivot: 1.6075.
Our Preference: LONG positions @ 1.6085 with targets @ 1.6175 & 1.625.
Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1.6075 will call for 1.6025 & 1.598.
Comment: the pair has struck against its resistance and is pulling back on its intermediary support ahead of a rebound.
Trend: ST Ltd Upside; MT Range

AUD/USD intraday: intraday support around 0.9775
Pivot: 0.9775
Our preference: Long positions above 0.9775 with targets @ 0.99 & 0.994 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 0.9775 look for further downside with 0.968 & 0.965 as targets.

NZD/USD intraday: turning up
Pivot: 0.7675
Our preference: Long positions above 0.7675 with targets @ 0.776 & 0.78 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 0.7675 look for further downside with 0.765 & 0.761 as targets.
Comment: the RSI lacks downward momentum

USD/CAD intraday: caution
Pivot: 1.015
Our preference: Short positions below 1.015 with targets @ 1.005 & 1.001 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1.015 look for further upside with 1.0185 & 1.0225 as targets.
Comment: intraday technical indicators are mixed and call for caution.

USD/CHF intraday: continuation of the rebound
Pivot: 0.975
Our preference: Long positions above 0.975 with targets @ 0.985 & 0.9875 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 0.975 look for further downside with 0.9725 & 0.968 as targets.
Comment: the pair has rebounded on its bullish channel lower boundary and should post a further up move.

USD/JPY intraday: the upside prevails
Pivot: 82.35.
Our Preference: LONG positions above 82.35 with targets @ 83.1 & 83.35.
Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 82.35 will open the way to 82.1 & 81.8.
Comment: the pair has broken above its declining trend line and should post a further up move.

EUR/JPY intraday: the upside prevails
Pivot: 112.75
Our preference: Long @ 112.82 with targets @ 113.8 & 114.5 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 112.75 look for further downside with 112.4 & 111.95 as targets.
Comment: the pair stands above its new support and remains on the upside.

GBP/JPY intraday: the upside prevails
Our preference: Long @ 132.95 with targets @ 133.85 & 134.4 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 132.8 look for further downside with 132.25 & 131.5 as targets.
Comment: the pair remains on the upside and is breaking above its resistance, the RSI is well directed.

EUR/CHF intraday: the upside prevails
Our preference: Long positions above 1.3365 with targets @ 1.344 & 1.35 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 1.3365 look for further downside with 1.3325 & 1.3275 as targets.
Comment: the pair has broken above a declining trend line and is challenging its resistance.

EUR/GBP intraday: capped by a negative trend line
Pivot: 0.852
Our preference: Short positions below 0.852 with targets @ 0.845 & 0.84 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 0.852 look for further upside with 0.855 & 0.8585 as targets.
Comment: the pair is capped by a MT declining trend line and is shaping a triangle (continuation pattern).

Crude Oil‏ (Dec 10) intraday: the downside prevails
Pivot: 85.75
Our Preference: SHORT positions below 85.75 with 84.25 & 83.2 as next targets.
Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 85.75 will call for 86.7 & 87.5.
Comment: the RSI is capped by a declining trend line.
Trend: ST Ltd upside; MT Range
Key levels Comment
87.5** Intraday resistance
86.7** Intraday resistance
85.75** Intraday pivot point
84.92 Last
84.25** Fib retracement (50%)
83.2** Fib retracement (61.8%)
82** Intraday support

THỊ TRƯỜNG CHỨNG KHOÁN MỸ
S&P 500‏ (Dec 10) intraday: rebound in sight
Pivot: 1189
Our Preference: LONG positions above 1189 with 1202 & 1207.5 as next targets.
Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 1189 will open the way to 1183 & 1179.5.
Comment: the contract is facing the lower boundary of an intraday bearish channel and a rising trend line support
Trend: ST Ltd Upside; MT Bullish
Key levels Comment
1216** Intraday resistance
1207.5** Intraday resistance
1202** Intraday resistance
1197 Last
1189*** Intraday pivot point
1183** Intraday support
1179.5** Intraday support

Dow Jones Industrial Average ST: the bias remains bullish
Pivot: 10580
Our Preference: LONG positions above 10580 with 11500 & 11945 as next targets.
Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 10580 will open the way to 10195 & 9602.
Comment: The index is holding above its 20DMA.
Trend: ST Ltd Rise; MT Bullish
Key levels Comment
12250** Intraday resistance
11945*** Intraday resistance
11500** Intraday resistance
11192 Last
10580*** Intraday pivot point
10195** Intraday support
9602** Intraday support

Nasdaq 100 ST: the upside prevails
Our pivot point stands at 2000.
Our preference: As long as 2000 is not broken down, we favour an upmove with 2240 and then 2300 as next targets.
Alternative scenario: below 2000, expect 1875 and 1750 in extension
Comment: the index is supported by its rising 20D MA currently passing through 2137.
Trend: ST rise; MT bullish.
Supports and resistances:
2350 **
2300 ***
2240 **
2137.95 last
2000 ***
1875 **
1750 **

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